Betting Odds (Update): Warriors Nearly 50% Likely to Win NBA Title

Updated: May 3, 2018

By Accuscore

Golden State should repeat as NBA champions. Our computers say it’s almost a 50% chance. While Houston has a slight chance at the upset, the safe money is with the Warriors.

Get more sports betting tips at Accuscore

The odds of anyone else taking the title are pretty slim. Here’s our probability breakdown:

Golden State – 47.6%
Houston – 25%
Toronto – 8.9%
Philadelphia – 7.2%
Cleveland – 5.1%
Boston – 3.2%
Utah – 2.2%
New Orleans 1.1%

Now a look at each series:

Eastern Conference
Toronto Raptors (1) – Cleveland Cavaliers (4)
Cleveland’s odds of winning the series are only 33.6% . The Raptors probability of rebounding and taking it are 66.4%. If Cleveland pulls off an upset it go take the full seven games.

Boston Celtics (2) – Philadelphia 76ers (3)
Boston’s chances of downing the 76ers is only 28.4% with Philly’s probability at 70.6%.

Western Conference

Houston Rockets (1) – Utah Jazz (5)
Houston’s probability of winning is 80.3% with Utah’s just 19.7%. This series is likely to game six games.

Golden State Warriors (2) – New Orleans Pelicans (6)
Golden State’s probability of taking down New Orleans is 93.2%. The Pelicans’ chances of advancing is just 6.8 per cent. The Warriors’ probability of pulling off a sweep is 26% and there’s a 27% probability it lasts six games.

Curry’s return makes Warriors the favorites

Our computers say Golden State should win a second straight NBA title, but may get some opposition from Houston. The combined probability of an Eastern team being crowned champions is below 25% with the Raptors and 76ers being slight threats. With Steph Curry back on the court, Golden State’s the safest bet.